How PreferMarket Works
PreferMarket is a community demand-discovery system for real-world questions that could become future prediction markets.
Participants do not predict whether an event will happen. They choose which question they would most like to see explored as a potential market. The resulting data represents relative community interest. It does not guarantee that an external platform will create or list a market.
This documentation explains both the operating product and the broader system architecture. Mechanisms that are not currently active must be described as system direction, not as available functionality or guaranteed commitments.
PreferMarket as a Demand-Discovery Layer
Traditional prediction markets usually begin after a market has already been created. PreferMarket operates earlier in the process.
Its purpose is to identify which questions attract meaningful community interest before liquidity, market-maker resources, or external platform attention are committed.
PreferMarket does not operate as a prediction market. It produces structured preference signals that external operators may independently evaluate.
1. A vote is not a trade
Arena participants choose a question. They do not open a position, risk capital, place a wager, or predict the final Yes/No outcome.
2. XP is not a financial token
XP records eligible participation and progression. It cannot be transferred, traded, purchased, or treated as money.
3. Not a guaranteed listing
A strong result indicates relative community interest. Any external market operator makes its own independent listing decision.
From Suggestion to Preference Signal
The end-to-end question pipeline enforces systematic checks from public proposal intake to consensus archiving:
Question Pool
Every submitted idea first enters a shared Question Pool. Submissions do not go directly into the public Arena.
Initial Review
Questions are checked for spam, duplication, unclear wording, unsuitable subjects, and missing information. A promising but incomplete question may be returned for revision.
Resolution Preparation
Qualified ideas receive a clear outcome condition, deadline, evidence source, definitions, exception rules, and fallback source.
Daily Arena
Curated questions are presented to participants. Each participant chooses the question they would most like to see explored as a potential market. Live preference percentages remain hidden before selection to help reduce herd influence.
Consensus Archive
Arena results are preserved as a historical record of relative community interest. The Archive records preference. It does not represent event probability, universal agreement, or guaranteed trading demand.
What Makes a Question Arena-Ready?
Every candidate matchup must satisfy three core qualification principles:
Meaningful Uncertainty
The question should concern an event that is not already settled, obvious, or effectively certain.
Objective Resolution
The outcome must be answerable through clear Yes/No conditions without depending on personal interpretation.
Listing Merit
The subject should carry enough economic, social, scientific, cultural, technological, sports, or policy interest to justify community attention.
The Six-Part Resolution Record
To prevent ambiguity and disputes, candidate questions must specify six formal fields:
Outcome
The exact condition that produces a Yes or No result without ambiguous third states.
Deadline
The final date and time, expressed strictly using UTC cutoff timestamps.
Primary Source
The official issuer, registry, federation, filing, agency, or first-party source used to confirm the event.
Definitions
The formal meaning of entities, locations, measurements, product names, thresholds, and other important terms.
Edge Cases
Rules covering delays, cancellations, postponements, ties, revisions, or unexpected reorganizations.
Fallback Source
A documented alternative source if primary evidence becomes temporarily or permanently unavailable.
Question Categories
PreferMarket organizes question exploration across nine distinct real-world domains:
Technology & Frontier Systems
AI, robotics, computing, hardware, chips, and emerging technologies.
Digital Assets & Protocols
Protocols, networks, digital assets, regulated products, and on-chain events.
Sports & Global Competitions
Major leagues, federations, tournaments, championships, and official events.
Entertainment & Cultural Impact
Entertainment, awards, media, releases, and verified audience milestones.
Corporate & Markets
Corporate reports, IPOs, acquisitions, executive changes, and issuer announcements.
Macroeconomics & Monetary Policy
Interest rates, inflation, labor markets, energy, and economic indicators.
Geopolitics & Governance
Elections, legislation, sanctions, treaties, regulatory decisions, and court rulings.
Scientific Frontiers & Space
Research milestones, space missions, climate records, health, and official scientific approvals.
Emerging Phenomena
Emerging subjects that do not fit the existing categories but still have a credible resolution source.
Participation and Quality Are Different Signals
XP records eligible participation over time. It may reflect Arena activity, completed daily participation, or other approved actions supported by the current product.
XP is cumulative and non-transferable. It is not money and does not prove contribution quality by itself.
Reputation represents the reviewed quality of a user’s contributions.
It may consider the quality of submitted questions, review decisions, explanations, resolution work, and consistency over time. Reputation can increase or decrease as new work is evaluated.
Awarded immediately for each daily matchup (up to 3x daily = 15 XP daily total)
Achieved upon locking decisions in all 3 daily matchups; advances streak
When your submitted idea meets standards and passes review
Awarded when your question is selected as an official Arena matchup
Awarded to both after the referred contributor completes their first cycle
One-time preservation bonus upon linking email or verified account
How Responsibility Can Expand
Arena participation is open, but specialist responsibilities require demonstrated quality, appropriate assessment, and operational need. The following roles define the contributor architecture. They must not be presented as guaranteed employment, guaranteed income, or automatically active permissions.
Participant
Participates in the Daily Arena and may suggest new questions.
Contributor / Market Scout
Discovers worthwhile topics, develops early question ideas, and helps surface potential candidates.
Reviewer / Curator
Screens submissions for spam, duplication, relevance, basic clarity, and correct topic classification.
Resolution Architect
Transforms an approved idea into a complete and objectively resolvable question specification.
Domain Expert
Reviews specialist facts, terminology, sources, and edge cases when a question requires subject-matter expertise.
Demand Analyst
Selects and balances Arena candidates to protect relevance, category diversity, comparison quality, and usefulness of the resulting signal.
Protocol Arbiter
Handles exceptional disputes, appeals, and archive-integrity decisions under the governance rules currently in force.
How Validated Contribution May Be Rewarded
PreferMarket may create funded programs for work that improves question quality, review accuracy, resolution clarity, or demand-signal usefulness.
Publish the task, eligibility criteria, evidence requirements, validation process, and available reward pool.
An eligible contributor completes the work and records the reasoning or evidence.
The work is checked through operational review, peer review, sampling, or escalation.
Only accepted work may receive an allocation from an active and funded program.
Potential Program Funding Sources
- Structured demand insights
- Clearly disclosed sponsored research or curation programs
- External attribution revenue
- Priority-processing programs that do not change acceptance standards
- A published share of realized and sustainable platform revenue
XP, streaks, roles, submitted questions, and Arena results do not create a cash claim. A financial reward exists only when a funded program is active, the work is eligible, and the contribution has been validated under the published rules.
How Decision Responsibility Evolves
Current Operating Responsibility
The PreferMarket team manages question intake, review, Arena composition, corrections, and archive integrity while product standards are established and evaluated.
Expanded Contributor Network
Qualified contributors may take responsibility for bounded discovery, review, resolution, and analytical tasks under published rules and quality controls.
Mature Shared Governance
Trusted contributors or councils may eventually participate in senior role selection, disputes, appeals, and selected protocol parameters.
Reputation-weighted voting, gasless signatures, and auditable on-chain decisions may form part of a mature governance architecture. These mechanisms must be described as future system direction unless the corresponding contracts, interfaces, policies, and public documentation are actually active.
Regular Arena participation must remain wallet-free.
Glossary and Reference
Analyze PreferMarket with AI
Download the structured PreferMarket AI Brief and provide it to ChatGPT or another document-capable AI assistant.
The file clearly separates current product behavior, contributor architecture, future governance direction, known limitations, and open questions.
The AI Brief is provided for independent analysis. It does not represent an endorsement by ChatGPT, OpenAI, or any external market operator.
Read the attached PreferMarket AI Brief as a critical product strategist. Explain the system in plain language, identify its strongest assumption, list the most important trust and incentive risks, and recommend the three highest-value experiments to run next. Separate facts in the supplied brief from your own inferences. Do not treat the project as endorsed by ChatGPT, OpenAI, or any external market operator.