01 / SUBMIT
Propose a Resolvable Question
A submission begins with a proposed binary question. It must satisfy the 3-pillar test: high epistemic tension (30–70% probability balance), objective resolvability, and clear listing demand.
PreferMarket
PREFERMARKET PROTOCOL • SPECIFICATION v0.0.1Unskewed demand discovery
Unskewed demand discovery
before markets go live.
PreferMarket is an unskewed daily curation protocol engineered to discover genuine market consensus and determine which real-world binary questions deserve an official market.
Participants do not risk capital on speculative outcomes. Curators compare qualified questions and record collective judgment in head-to-head preference battles.
✕A vote is not a trade.
✕XP is not a financial token.
✕Graduation is not an automatic listing.
SYSTEM FLOW
Question Lifecycle & Resolution
Every candidate question follows an immutable path across our standard taxonomy and strict qualification criteria.
TECH
Frontier AI, Robotics, Hardware & Quantum
CRYPTO
Protocols, L1/L2 Networks, ETF Flows
SPORTS
Champions League, NBA, Grand Slams & Tournaments
CULTURE
Box Office, Entertainment, Digital Landmarks
BUSINESS
Corporate Earnings, IPOs, M&A & Executive Shifts
MACRO
Interest Rates, Inflation, BLS & Central Banks
POLICY
Elections, Geopolitics, Sanctions & Regulations
SCIENCE
Space Missions, Clean Tech, Climate & FDA Approvals
OTHER
Emerging Phenomena & Unconventional Questions
02 / QUALIFY
Review the 6 Resolution Vectors
Before entering the Arena, candidates are reviewed against the six determinism standards to ensure zero post-settlement ambiguity.
| Resolution Vector | Standard Requirement |
|---|---|
| 1. Outcome | Strict binary Yes / No or A / B resolution without ambiguous third states. |
| 2. Deadline | Deterministic cutoff timestamp anchored strictly to UTC. |
| 3. Source | Authoritative primary source of truth (official agency, government registry, or primary corporate issuer). |
| 4. Definitions | Entities, terms, product scopes, and geography are formal and unambiguous. |
| 5. Edge Cases | Explicit handling for cancellations, postponements, delays, ties, or reorganizations. |
| 6. Fallback | Documented backup oracle or archive mirror in case of primary source outages or structural conflicts. |
03 / ENTER THE ARENA
Head-to-Head Comparison
Qualified questions enter the Arena in 3 competitive daily battles. Curators answer one fundamental curation prompt: Which market gets listed next?
04 / COMMUNITY SELECTION
Blind Preference Recording
Live vote distributions remain masked until your selection is locked to prevent herd bias and capture unskewed preference signals.
EPOCH SETTLEMENT: 00:00 UTC
05 / GRADUATE & RECORD
Freeze Results into Immutable Archive
At 00:00 UTC, the cycle locks. Winning candidates graduate into the public Consensus Archive with verified percentage records and permanent author attribution.
INCENTIVE ARCHITECTURE
Curator Participation Ledger
XP tracks your engagement and reputation consistency. It unlocks access to protocol governance and advanced Core Roles.
+5 XP
Awarded for each completed Arena battle selection (up to 3x daily)
+15 XP Daily Total
Maximum daily voting reward (3 matchups × 5 XP) & advances daily streak
+25 XP
When your submitted question passes curation qualification
+100 XPTOP CANDIDATE
Awarded when your question is featured as an official Arena matchup
+20 XP
Curator Referral bonus (awarded to both after first completed cycle)
+10 XP
Permanent account preservation bonus upon linking email or Google account
Daily Streaks
Continuous daily participation tracking; prerequisite for qualifying for advanced Core Roles.
DECENTRALIZATION FUNNEL
Core Roles & Community Stewardship
PreferMarket is engineered to transition from an admin-seeded MVP into an autonomous community-curated protocol. Each role operates as a verified link in the curation pipeline.
[C] Arena CuratorLvl 2+ Required
Performs initial triage on raw community submissions. Screens for spam, eliminates duplicates, and verifies category tags.
[R] Resolution ArchitectLvl 3+ Required
Authors deterministic resolution specifications. Establishes authoritative sources of truth, fallback oracles, and edge-case criteria.
[D] Demand AnalystLvl 4+ Required
Assembles head-to-head match cards. Balances the 3 daily battles to maintain epistemic tension, category diversity, and competitive interest.
[P] Protocol ArbiterLvl 5+ Required
Governs resolution disputes, handles appeals on rejected questions, and validates final settlement integrity before archival freeze.
Official Communication Channels
Product updates, active-round drops, and protocol documentation updates are published through official feeds.
Protocol FAQ
Comprehensive Reference
Want the complete model?
Explore the full PreferMarket documentation, including question standards, contributor responsibilities, incentive mechanisms, governance direction, and the complete terminology reference.